Comps – Low/Medium/High
Jeff Kidd (Low) – Brandon Silvers (Medium) – Jake Rudock (High)
One of the weakest armed guys in the class, Shurmur’s physical limitations are a massive anchor on his game that could drag his stock deep into UDFA territory. The most concerning part is that Shurmur drives off of his base and still fails to get the ball where it needs to go. The amount of window throws he makes is a shocker given the question marks on his arm, but it speaks to his chemistry with his receivers. Despite having good chemistry with his receivers, he isn’t able to consistently deliver a good football to them. Most of his throws downfield sail high or wide, as he has to overload his arm in an attempt to make throws arrive on time. He can’t alter ball trajectory or work over linebackers, instead having to put everything on a low line. He makes good timing throws to his first read, but his game breaks down once he starts looking for secondary options. When asked to work out of structure entirely it’s near impossible for him to find success though. Against both Georgia and Kentucky he was overwhelmed when pressure arrived and his first man was covered, which resulted in some dangerously poor play. He protected the football well at the college level, but his inaccuracy only resulting in six interceptions in 2018 is a complete shock. Many of his throws landed in the laps of defenders who were unable to take advantage of the opportunity. Shurmur is listed at 6’4″, but his size doesn’t seem to play a role in the pocket. He shrinks as the pocket begins to close, making sub-par decisions. He can’t break tackles or outrun defenders as a scrambler, so he’ll need a drastic improvement in his pocket presence to have a reasonable shot in the pros.
Reads & Decisions
Works back to his checkdown in a timely manner. Comfortable attacking the middle of the field. Doesn’t attempt to look off defenders and open up throwing lanes with his eyes. Anticipation isn’t up to par with NFL standards, but it’s trending in the right direction. Deals with bouts of hesitation when throws aren’t easily available. Timing needs to stay in structure, as he has trouble making plays outside of it. Intentions are easy to recognize early as a linebacker or safety; going to get abused by reactive guys who anticipate his throws. Did not routinely get through his progressions at Vanderbilt. Avoids throwing into unwinnable situations; minimizes turnover potential. Process speeds up when he has breakthrough around him. Throws it away if he can’t find anything.
Accuracy & Ball Placement
Ball placement starts to get wild when he starts to feel pressure. Misses targets wide if he can’t set up with time to make his decisions. Comfortable working into enclosed spaces as a passer; unphased by the presence of linebackers or defensive backs around his target. Leads his target in short game; sets up plays after the catch. Struggles to throw with touch. Has to make everything a fastball or it won’t arrive clear of trouble. Poor control of ball height once he starts attacking downfield; passes sail too frequently as he tries to put heat on them. Unable to alter trajectories in a meaningful fashion to avoid traffic underneath; intermediate throws are relatively flatline. Huge dropoff in his aim when working past his first read. Shocking amount of window throws. Pocket
Awareness & Scrambling
Meets the size thresholds that most teams want from their quarterback. Lacking in improvisational ability. Doesn’t back down from throws even with a big hit coming his way. Fleet-footedness is conducive to pocket manipulation, although he is not yet developed in controlling the space. Slouches a bit, which makes finding lanes a little tougher. Fast enough working towards the sidelines to perform rollouts. Average athlete who rarely grabs yardage with his legs. Tends to panic if he can’t find an option early on; runs himself into trouble trying to figure out what to do with his positioning. Will get run down by most edge rushers if they break through. Not strong enough to break through arm tackles; goes down on first contact. Plays much smaller than he really is.
Mechanics & Throwing Motion
Struggles adjusting arm slot to avoid batted passes at the line of scrimmage. Feet stay bouncy in preparation for his release; capable of making quick shifts with his lower half to align with the target. Drives off of his base rather than going all arm with his throws; good weight transfer. Throwing motion can be a bit long; may need to shave off a fraction of a second by increasing arm speed or shortening its path. Mechanics get unreliable when he is forced to uneven platforms; needs a clean setup to deliver. Footwork is always aligned with his target; sets his aim with the base rather than relying on his arm accuracy. Has to throw himself through the motion to get enough juice for driving the ball through traffic. Takes extra time by patting the ball prior to arm action.
Below average arm isn’t going to do much for scouts. Struggles to create velocity on attempts without a full setup. Mechanics maximize his arm and make it seem more talented than it really is. Off platform throws really demonstrate how weak his arm is; can’t drive the ball while working on the move. Gives plenty of room for defensive backs to run in and undercut his longer throws. Outs to the far side of the field are always in danger. Will need to be near perfect with timing and placement to overcome his limitations on longer developing throws. Passes wobble and shake off course when he throws in windy or rainy circumstances. Throws die out when he tries to put air underneath them.